Forecasts

Why beating the ‘digital drag’ could help your small business thrive
October 16, 2023

These businesses have faced immense challenges with sky high inflation, reduced consumer spending and record late payments making things increasingly hard. Despite this, the smallest

Sage and CEBR forecast positive UK economic growth with SMBs set to contribute an extra £160bn of turnover by 2025
January 10, 2023

Sage Press Release, January 10 2023 Analysis by the Centre for Economics Business Research (Cebr) for Sage forecasts that the number of SMBs in the

YouGov – Household finance gloom continues to drag down consumer confidence
July 14, 2022

Consumer confidence declines by -1.2 points – marking seven months of decline   Households report that their finances worsened in the past month (-3.7), while outlook

Home rental prices rise by more than 10% for new contracts, but Cebr expects cost-of-living pressures to lead to slower growth next year
June 27, 2022

It’s not a great time to move to a new rented home. The average rent agreed for new contracts rose by 10.6% across the UK

YouGov – Consumer confidence falls for the fifth month running
May 13, 2022

The UK’s cost of living crisis has knocked consumer confidence again, according to the latest analysis from YouGov and the Centre for Economics and Business

Impact of sanctions and the weak ruble on the Russian standard of living
March 18, 2022

Introduction One issue affecting the effectiveness of sanctions and the corresponding response in the currency and other markets is how they affect Russian living standards.

Invasion of Ukraine, rising commodity and oil prices and sanctions likely to have major impact on economy
March 8, 2022

Read the full report Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is likely to have a large effect on the UK economy. The scale of this effect is

Stealth tax bombshell – freezing of allowances and unexpected inflation mean £40 billion of unexpected revenue and a doubling of the number on higher rate tax
February 20, 2022

The UK Treasury has a number of institutional biases (what other people call prejudices). They tend to disbelieve any evidence that tax cuts cause growth,

UK inflation: Rising costs could push family spend up £1,700 a year
December 1, 2021

A typical UK family will spend £1,700 more per year on household costs in 2022, according to a forecast for BBC Panorama. The analysis, conducted

A world recession is now almost a certainty, with global GDP set to decline twice as much as during the financial crisis. The challenge now is to prevent the recession from turning into a 1930s style rout.
March 22, 2020

Cebr Global Prospects Highlights March 2020 Cebr’s Global Prospects report can be downloaded in full via this link. We have severely downgraded our forecasts for

Cebr Economic Analysis of the Brexit Deal agreed at the European Council on 17 October 2019
October 18, 2019

CEBR FORECASTING EYE SPECIAL    Summary   Cebr has performed a quick analysis of the likely economic impact of the Brexit deal agreed at the

YouGov – Cebr press release: Consumer confidence hits six month high
September 28, 2017

Overall confidence at its strongest level since March House price metrics see moderate improvement But household finance scores fall again UK consumer confidence has improved

YouGov-Cebr Consumer Confidence Release
September 1, 2017

Consumer confidence improves slightly but household finances fall for fifth month in a row Consumer confidence at highest level since the general election Strong improvements

Consumer confidence slumps in wake of hung parliament
June 27, 2017

June data shows pronounced collapse in consumer confidence following the election – falling from 109.1 in week before the vote to 105.2 in period after

Cebr report on Brexit and the housing market quoted on both sides of the argument
May 23, 2016

The conclusion of the Cebr, ARLA and NAEA report was that a British withdrawal from the EU risks drastically reducing the construction workforce, compromising current plans to build

Strong demographics and lifting of sanctions to see Iran emerge as new bright spot in global economy.
December 14, 2015

  New Cebr forecasts show clear imminent boost to Iranian development, but challenges remain   After two years of deep recession in 2012 and 2013,

Low oil prices to account for a fifth of UK economic growth in 2015
November 20, 2015

A new report published by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr) on behalf of FairFuelUK shows the beneficial impact of lower oil and fuel prices on the UK economy in 2015.

Chinese investment into UK infrastructure
October 29, 2014

CHINA SET TO INVEST OVER £100 BILLION IN UK INFRASTRUCTURE BY 2025

50% Rise in Gridlock Costs by 2030
October 14, 2014

 INRIX, Inc., a leading international provider of real-time traffic information, transportation analytics and connected driver services, today announced that the combined annual cost of traffic

China to meet 7.5% growth target
September 15, 2014

Q3 China Economic Insight

Superfast broadband impact forecast
August 11, 2014

Superfast broadband roll-out could boost annual online sales by £740 million

China to miss its growth targets this year
June 17, 2014

China may marginally miss its growth targets this year, entering a phase of consolidation

Fiscal expansion boosts Singapore
May 22, 2014

Investment in education and human capital remains a priority for Singapore.

Family spending up £5 a week
March 31, 2014

Family spending power up £5 a week, according to the ASDA Income Tracker

Consumer confidence improvement
March 27, 2014

YouGov/Cebr HEAT Index

More challenges for China ahead
March 20, 2014

Education & innovation key to driving China’s economic transformation

Shifting economic sands
February 21, 2014

10 years of the Business Confidence Monitor – and some predictions for the next 10

Cebr research on UK infrastructure
February 4, 2014

Cebr research for CECA cited in HM Treasury’s National Infrastructure Plan 2013

UK family spending power rose again
January 27, 2014

Family spending power continues to pick up across the UK, according to the Asda Income Tracker

Public sector pay growth still slow
January 21, 2014

Public sector take home pay growth still lagging behind other sectors

UK hiring intentions rise again
January 13, 2014

Employment prospects catching up with wider economic recovery

Middle East Economic Insight
December 18, 2013

Middle East must invest in education in order to diversify and remain competitive

Small UK firms confident about 2014
December 16, 2013

Encouraging outlook shows potential for growth in 2014, says FSB

Take home pay growth still sluggish
December 13, 2013

Public sector and manufacturing workers face the slowest wage growth in run-up to Christmas

Changes in China’s economy
December 11, 2013

China could be on brink of ‘new dawn of expansion’

Brighter 2014 for ASEAN
December 10, 2013

Recovering global economy gives South-East Asian nations chance to reboot growth

SME inflation at four-year low
December 4, 2013

Annual cost inflation for Britain’s small and medium enterprises falls to its lowest level since 2009.

Squeeze on living standards to ease
November 18, 2013

Inflation in advanced economies is expected to fall next year, as weaker growth in emerging markets pushes global commodity prices down

Spending power still falling
September 23, 2013

Families yet to feel the benefits of economic recovery as household spending power falls again this month

Risk in China’s financial markets
September 23, 2013

China over-leveraged but should avoid crash, liberalised capital markets could help

Public sector pay continues to fall
August 30, 2013

Fourth consecutive monthly fall in public sector take home pay, but private sector pay growth holds steady

Economic optimism boosts pay growth
July 16, 2013

Private sector workers benefit from service sector strength, but public sector take home pay growth remains negative.

Family finances facing erosions
June 24, 2013

Asda Income Tracker shows rising inflation and weak wage growth continuing to erode family spending power

Inflation hits pay packet power
June 20, 2013

Pay growth accelerates, but is undermined by high inflation

Small business confidence rises
June 18, 2013

The Federation of Small Businesses Voice of Small Business Index shows firms at their most optimistic since 2010.

Asda Income Tracker latest
May 28, 2013

Family spending power falls back by sharpest rate in 12 months

Singapore outlook remains healthy
May 27, 2013

The growth outlook for Singapore remains healthy, though credit growth needs careful management to avoid a bubble.

Flat white economy driving London
May 17, 2013

London to outperform UK economy, driven by business services and ‘flat white economy’

Economic recovery strengthening
May 6, 2013

…according to the latest ICAEW/Grant Thornton UK Business Confidence Monitor (BCM).

Asda Income Tracker April 2013
April 19, 2013

Discretionary incomes fall back year-on-year due to wage growth slowdown

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