Blogs

“Consumer confidence has slumped to its lowest level in a year amid the ongoing uncertainty surrounding Brexit, according to new data. Analysis by YouGov and the Centre for Economics and

Forecasting Eye   During every investment craze, there are plenty of signs that things are taking a wrong turn if one knows where to look.

Forecasting Eye   With the Prime Minister having negotiated an agreement for withdrawing from the EU and surprise data showing that inventories actually declined in

View the full article here.   Cambridge, the city that voted overwhelmingly to stay in the EU, will be one of the chief beneficiaries of

Having made the case for the use of ‘Superports’ in last week’s Forecasting Eye, we turn our attention to another key part of trade infrastructure

“The number of side hustlers – individuals who run their own business on top of their day job – has risen by 32% in the

Forecasting Eye   Although much of the current focus on Britain’s EU withdrawal has been on the terms of exit, less attention has been paid

Forecasting Eye    One of Cebr’s recent themes has been to sidestep the Brexit debate to focus attention on those economic factors within the country’s

Forecasting Eye    One of Cebr’s recent themes has been to sidestep the Brexit debate to focus attention on those economic factors within the country’s

We differ from the OBR in our reading of the state of the UK and world economies. The Cebr view is pretty grisly at the

Forecasting Eye   A year ago we predicted that 2018 would be the year of ‘il sorpasso’ where the Indian economy overtook two prominent Western

It’s another potentially tumultuous Wednesday in Britain’s House of Commons . Somewhere in the vicinity, Prime Minister Theresa May is limbering up to face a

Brexit stockpiling may give Scotland’s economy a short-term boost, but will have a “negative” effect overall, the government’s top economist has said.   Dr Gary

The chairman of Lloyd’s of London has warned of a “crippling underinsurance crisis” which could leave developing countries unable to fund recovery efforts after a

FORECASTING EYE   Facing a tide of negative press coverage focused on Brexit negotiations and lacklustre economic growth, the Prime Minister has been keen to

Watch the full program here 

“The FTSE 100 is on course for its worst year since the financial crisis as economists warn that investors need to brace for a “Wile

Global equities have taken a beating in recent days, as fears of US rate rises triggered widespread sell-offs. Asian markets suffered the heaviest losses, with

Cebr estimates that the risk of a global recession in the next two years has risen from a fifth a year ago to a third

View the full article by Andrew Moody here.   “The escalating trade dispute between China and the US is beginning to inflict economic damage on third-party

“British exports worth more than £1.9 billion have been hit by President Trump’s trade attacks on the European Union and China, analysis shows.   Moreover,

Cebr analysis shows that over £1.9 billion worth of UK exports have been affected by US tariffs on China and the EU so far this

“By the time Britain leaves the EU, companies will have piled up an extra £38bn of goods, according to an estimate by the Centre for

Forecasting Eye   In 2000 the average UK household spent £386 per week. Today this figure stands at £554 – a rise of 44%. But

Access the full article here. “A report by the economic consultancy the CEBR estimates that hoarding will be so widespread that it will boost economic growth over

Forecasting Eye   The joke about Sweden used to be ‘Question: What do famous Swedes have in common? Answer: They don’t live in Sweden’. Bjorn

The event was attended by the chairmen of Astra Zeneca and Atlas Copco and the CEO of Volvo.

“Businesses will run down stocks of imports built up before EU departure, leading to small contraction of economy, says CEBR Stockpiling supplies of food and

“Think-tank says fluctuations in inventories makes mini-recession ‘almost inevitable’   UK companies will stockpile about £40bn of imports to cope with the impact of a

I started economic forecasting in 1975, which coincided with one of the largest ever falls in inventories as the economy adjusted to the first oil

“The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs said: “We are seeking a far more useful relaxation of EU laws for our farmers than other

Watch the full interview here.  

“The cost of basic foodstuffs could be about to rocket as Europe’s recent heatwave pushes up the price of everything from carrots and strawberries to

“Food prices are expected to rise by 5 per cent because of the impact of the wintry weather from the Beast from the East and summer’s extended heatwave, economists have warned.

“The heatwave could lead to rise in the price of bacon because hot weather has hampered the fertility of pigs, a new report suggests.   Research from

“Cold winter and baking summer will likely increase food household bills by £7.15/month according to Centre for Economics and Business Research   British consumers are

Access the full article here.   “The price of meat, vegetable and dairy produce in the UK is set to rise by at least 5 per cent

Household food bills are set to rise by an estimated £7.15 a month as a result of the UK’s extreme weather, research suggests.   The

“British consumers are facing a hike in food prices of at least 5% as a result of extreme weather this year, economists warn.   Extended

“Meat, vegetable and dairy prices are set to rise “at least” 5% in the coming months because of the UK’s extreme weather this year, research

Forecasting Eye Summer 2018 has been one of the warmest in living memory, with above average temperatures recorded since April and dry spells lasting more

“In the UK, Labour has raised the possibility of direct government subsidies to build a network, which may be necessary to bring 5G to rural

The GfK barometer fell back to a negative reading of 10, its joint lowest since December. The measure has remained at or below zero constantly

The spending power of Britain’s hard-pressed consumers is slightly increasing as inflation falls and wages rise compared with last year.   The latest Asda Income

This blog by Merryn Somerset Webb considers the recent slow growth in UK productivity. It discusses potential reasons behind it, including a paper by Cebr Deputy Chairman,

Aldershot has been named the unlikely leadership capital of the UK in a new ranking of towns and cities.   Meanwhile London is only ninth

INDIA has leapfrogged France to become the world’s sixth-largest economy in dollar terms, according to new figures released by the World Bank.   Experts predict

America’s economy performed worse than expected in the first three months of this year, government figures suggested yesterday, providing a setback to President Trump’s ambitious

Insurance market Lloyd’s of London has predicted that France will win this year’s world cup, based on the insurable value of its team.   The

“The difference costs consumers a total of £204 million more than they expected every year, according to research from the Centre for economic and business