Marking our own report card,we reckon we were 100% correct in our political and economic predictions last year (copy of last year’s predictions available here for
India is on track to overtake Germany as the world’s fourth-largest economy by 2026, dumping all leading European economies out of the top flight as
India, Germany and Japan would continue to battle for the position of third-largest economy over the next 15 years, the CEBR report stated India
Under PM Boris Johnson, the Conservatives have won a large majority in the general election held last Thursday. It may sound harsh to say so but
Thursday, December 12 2019 will be an election day in the U.K. that has echoes of 1979. That year was marked by Margaret Thatcher coming
Stark warnings of a £67bn hit from Labour’s plans to seize 10pc of UK firms have raised the stakes for Thursday’s general election after alarming
Forecasting Eye We will be holding the launch party for my book ‘Driving the Silk Road – Halfway Round the World in a Bentley
Consumer confidence rose last month as households shrugged off uncertainty about the impending general election, a poll has suggested. People are growing increasingly confident about
Forecasting Eye Christmas period sales have risen in line with retail sales values for the rest of the year since Black Friday started to
We produced our comments on the Lib Dem and Labour manifestos over the weekend. Our line was that they were unaffordable. But the Lib Dems,
Forecasting Eye The Lib Dems and Labour have produced their manifesto launches in the last week. The Tories seem to be delaying theirs until
Cebr was delighted to welcome the National Development and Reform Comission, led by Liu Xilong, Director of the Division of Coal Management of the Bureau
Forecasting Eye Just over a year ago, Cebr wrote about the risk of a global recession rising to one in three for the 2019-20
The new warehouses in contrast were sited near towns so that van drivers could access them and take advantage of the “extra mile” of delivery.
A leading economist says the productivity gap will close with legislation to help women achieve their potential. But what about Bame and disabled workers, asks James Moore.
Forecasting Eye Our present short term focused market system does not lead to proper allocation of resources because it doesn’t price externalities properly with
Strike threats and Labour poll pledges have summoned the spectre of 1979 The South Western strike has greater potential for causing problems. It will
Douglas McWilliams, deputy chairman of research institute Cebr, said: “Unusually, it appears that the choices made in the coming election will have an impact on
Forecasting Eye Finally, after months of resisting, Parliament gave in last week and permitted the Prime Minister Boris Johnson to hold an election on
“For retailers, this is a hand-to-mouth existence. Average shop prices for non-food stores are falling at an annual rate of 1.5 per cent, according to
“Before looking into the reason that this is a strategic mistake, let us first dismiss a political red herring: that lawmakers do not have the
On 1 October, the World Trade Organisation (WTO) presented its latest forecast for trade growth. The outlook has darkened considerably since the last report in
Stagnant retail sales have raised fears over the key Christmas trading period as cautious shoppers kept a rein on their wallets last month. Sales
Prosperity paradox: more wealth leads to higher inequality Douglas McWilliams believes China is a classic case of the paradox at the heart of the
Rising household debt, shifting consumer preferences and fierce competition have created a challenging environment for UK retailers. Although the ONS data is stronger, the September
A critical issue affecting the level of economic growth in the UK in the coming months will be the extent of the pre-Brexit inventory overhang.
Cebr’s board of directors has appointed Ms Nina Skero as Cebr’s new Chief Executive from today 1 October 2019. She succeeds Graham Brough, who has
The Alzheimer’s Society says the cost is likely to double to £6.3bn over the next 20 years. A crisis in dementia care has cost
More than 100,000 Britons quit their jobs last year to care for relatives with dementia, research shows. This workforce exodus cost businesses about £3.2 billion
Alzheimer’s charity says people forced to quit or change work hours to care for loved ones Businesses in England lost £3.2bn last year because
The Alzheimer’s Society claims dementia costs business £3.2 billion in lost hours Staff have been forced to take time off to care with relatives suffering
Changes to Stamp Duty in 2014 upped the tax burden on luxury house-buyers. But for foreign buyers, the collapse in sterling since the Brexit referendum
View the full article here. LONDON (Reuters) – British consumer sentiment has fallen to a six-year low due to increased worries about job security
Nearly half (47 per cent) of households in the UK rely on discounts to afford their weekly necessities. Millions of households across the country
Forecasting Eye For fashion buyers, designers and fans around the world, September is one of the most important months of the year. This is
The US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank (ECB) both slashed interest rates at their last meetings, citing trade wars and stubborn inflation respectively.
Forecasting Eye The maritime sector is a vital aspect of the UK economy, providing access to global markets and contributing to economic growth. The
Forecasting Eye While the politicians play parliamentary games, the UK economy is close to recession. GDP fell in Q2 2019 by 0.2% after
Cebr is grateful to pollsters Com Res for hosting a launch party for The Inequality Paradox, the latest book by Cebr founder and Deputy Chairman
Cebr Founder and Deputy Chairman Douglas McWilliams was interviewed on Jazz FM’s Business Breakfast this morning to discuss today’s business headlines and the launch of
Forecasting Eye Thomas Piketty drew attention to the increasingly unequal distribution of income and wealth in many countries in his best selling book ‘Capital in
View the full article here. Consumer confidence has hit a five-year low with the majority of people expecting a recession before the end of
View the full article here. Scotland’s digital economy now accounts for 10% of the country’s GDP and is poised for further growth, according to
Forecasting Eye On 20 August, the ONS released newly revised data on UK GDP up to 2016 showing the economy was £26 billion larger
View the full article here. LONDON (Reuters) – Higher government spending ate into Britain’s seasonal budget surplus in July, underlining the budget constraints facing
View the full article here. Chaos caused by last week’s power cuts leaves industry chiefs facing big questions When lightning struck part of
Forecasting Eye Following Blackout Friday, a week ago, the reaction of National Grid, the Electricity System Operator (ESO), is remarkable: the power cut apparently
Forecasting Eye I was mentored in economics by Sir Donald MacDougal who had been responsible for ensuring that there were adequate food supplies during
For the Cebr away day this year, the staff had the opportunity to climb over the roof of the world’s most popular entertainment venue, the