Would you expect an economy with a high tax burden and one of the earliest retirement ages in the developed world to be amongst the top performers in the years since the pandemic? France is that economy, being relatively resilient amidst considerable global volatility, despite having the second highest tax-to-GDP ratio in the OECD and

Long-term damage will derail growth that would have seen UK overtake Germany, consultancy warns Jeremy Hunt’s tax raid will leave Britain stagnating on the world stage, according to new analysis that shows the Chancellor’s attack on aspiration will leave the country languishing behind other economies for the next two decades. The Centre for Economics and

Record shipping costs are hurting the ability of British companies to export outside the European Union, dampening one of the apparent benefits of Brexit, a leading consultancy has warned. The Centre for Economics and Business Research said that long-haul shipping costs had almost tripled compared with pre-pandemic levels because of higher fuel and container costs,

The UK’s trade figures have been buffeted of late by changes of definition and accounting practices, large flows of ‘erratics’, rising energy and commodity prices and rising shipping costs. This hasn’t inhibited zealots on all sides from claiming that they ‘prove’ that either Brexit has not been a failure (few go so far as to

Despite appearances, the UK is unlikely to be in the deep freeze under Biden​   At the time of writing, we don’t know who will be declared winner in the US Presidential election. But on past form, the Democrats normally pull ahead when the postal votes get counted and the judicial system tends to rule

Forecasting Eye   It’s time for our annual look ahead to see what the New Year will bring.   First – how did we do last year? WHAT WE GOT RIGHT – Chinese growth and the world economy slowing, an Italian election bringing in a more confrontational government, the Bitcoin collapse, UK growth at the

“By the time Britain leaves the EU, companies will have piled up an extra £38bn of goods, according to an estimate by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR). Rolls-Royce said in July that it could start stockpiling parts within months, while Airbus has reportedly ordered suppliers to build up stocks. […]   Companies

Cebr Deputy Chairman, Douglas McWilliams, debates on Brexit with Patrick Minford on Wake Up To Money – BBC Radio 5 Live.   Listen to the debate between minutes 20 and 30 here.

Cebr comment on the implications of the UK General Election 2017     ‘Whoever tries to form a government has perhaps the most difficult mandate of any government since 1945’ ‘Increased economic stability at the price of longer term political instability’ ‘The luck of the Irish…’ The political results of the election     I’ve

Cebr Special Report – Economic Consequences of Limiting Migration[1] This short note gives Cebr’s analysis on the economic consequences of limiting migration as proposed in the Conservative Manifesto for the 2017 General Election. The note builds on earlier work by NIESR and the OBR but is unique in looking at the dynamic effects of reducing

•When considering the single market, many of the nuances relating to services are often lost as part of the ongoing focus on Brexit. This report specifically addresses the implications of leaving the single market in services and why maintaining deep access is important. The single market in services is important to the UK. This is