The CEBR points to RPI data suggesting that the average price of a pint in October rose by 5.9 per cent on a year ago to £4.15, putting off consumers amid high energy and food costs.
The switch to a winter World Cup has also been a hindrance rather than a help, as customers opt to stay at home rather than trek out into the rain and snow. The winter weather also limits options for outdoor seating, while demands on indoor space are increased by Christmas bookings.
The CEBR said that tournaments provided “an undeniable boost to UK pubs and the wider economy”, with previous research finding a £143 million spending boost during Euro 2020 last year. A third strong run in a row for England, after a semi-final appearance in the previous World Cup and a runner-up finish in the Euros, would improve sentiment — although weekend matches are less lucrative for pubs that are already busy at that time.