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City A.M. – Allez le Bleus! Lloyd’s of London tips France for world cup glory

June 12, 2018

Insurance market Lloyd’s of London has predicted that France will win this year’s world cup, based on the insurable value of its team.   The research by Lloyd’s and the Centre for Economics and Business Research shows the insurable value of the French team is £1.4bn, with England second on £1.17bn and Brazil third on £1.1bn.   Lloyd’s predicts England will top group G, the most valuable group in the…

The Independent – Lenders court new controversy over misleading loan rates

June 7, 2018

"The difference costs consumers a total of £204 million more than they expected every year, according to research from the Centre for economic and business research (Cebr), which found these so-called representative rates have been increasingly unrepresentative over the last 7 years.     Critics of the practice have called for tighter legislation over marketing on these rates after the survey found that more than 80 per cent of applicants…

The French have every right to swagger. But they should beware of overconfidence in international negotiations

June 4, 2018

Forecasting Eye   A couple of days of conferring in Paris with movers and shakers from around the world convinces me of the huge shift in sentiment in France. Last year’s elections, with President Macron winning a reasonable majority over Mme Le Pen but then winning a landslide majority in the Parliamentary elections, from a standing start after setting up his own party, showed that the French had a desire…

City A.M. – Heathrow expands footprint into China with new routes – but warns it lags behind EU rivals

June 1, 2018

"The launch of the new routes coincided with the carrying out of Heathrow’s export climate index for by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR), which revealed that £2.9bn worth of experts passed through the airport to non-EU destinations compared with the same quarter last year.   The airport also saw a growth in passenger numbers which it says is vital to its case for a third runway. MPs…

Sky News – Bank of Mum and Dad feeling the squeeze, study says

May 29, 2018

The "Bank of Mum and Dad" will help fund one in four property purchases this year - but is starting to feel the pinch, according to new research.   Figures from Legal & General and economics consultancy Cebr suggest young homebuyers are growing increasingly reliant on their parents to help them get onto the property ladder. Research shows 27% of buyers will receive help from friends or family in 2018,…

BBC News – Bank of Mum and Dad ‘feels the pinch’

May 29, 2018

Access the full article on our report for Legal and General here.   "Parents are parting with thousands of pounds to help their children get on the property ladder, but they can't afford to lend as much as they used to.   The average parental contribution for home buyers this year will be £18,000, down 17% from last year's £21,600, according to Legal & General (L&G).   The drop shows…

City A.M. – House price slump sees biggest consumer confidence drop in two years

May 25, 2018

Falling house prices and fears over job security have dented consumer confidence in the UK, which has seen its biggest drop in two years.   According to the consumer confidence index compiled by Yougov and consultancy group the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR), consumer confidence fell to 108.4, down 1.4 points from April.   While this still means that a majority of UK consumers are confident about the…

Strong economies will need a marriage of the creative and tech sectors – plus migrant talent

May 17, 2018

  Future economic success will depend on a fusion of creativity and technology, according to Cebr Deputy Chairman Douglas McWilliams.    Douglas was speaking at Birbeck College, London's seminar 'Trade and Talent - The Brexit Challenge', supported by the Worshipful Company of World Traders.   Douglas said: "Successful economies in the coming years will depend on the continuing fusion of the tech sector and the creative sector, highlighted in my book…

Malaysian election – if changeover happens smoothly – should help growth

May 10, 2018

The last time there was an election in Malaysia where there was a chance of a change of government, almost exactly 49 years ago, I was playing cricket on the Padang (the town square) in Kuala Lumpur. People started running in the streets. I got on my motorbike and rode home. By the time I arrived there the whole country was under a 48 hour curfew. Had I waited 15…

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