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A French economic revival is great news for the UK

July 13, 2017

Renewing the Entente: Macron’s “New France” is good for Britain too   The French mood this Bastille Day should be buoyant. And why not? The French economy has returned to growth with jobs growth of 90,000 in Q1, of which 80,000 were in the private sector. Cebr’s GDP forecast for France this year is 1.6% but on present trends there is a strong chance that this will be beaten.  …

THE FUTURE OF ROAD TRANSPORT – ABOLISHING TRAFFIC JAMS

July 10, 2017

Technological change presents an opportunity to abolish traffic jams PLUS cut the cost of motoring by about a third and the number of accidents by 90%. The polluting effects of fossil fuels in propelling vehicles could be ended. A ‘Barnett formula’ could be worked out providing the Treasury with rent from road users for the use of roads, providing approx. £30 billion a year.   A blueprint for cleaner roads…

Election hit to confidence reduces GDP growth by 0.4% in both 2017 and 2018

July 3, 2017

NEWS RELEASE Election hit to confidence reduces GDP growth by 0.4% in both 2017 and 2018   - The political uncertainty created by the indecisive election outcome will dampen short term performance though growth might recover post-2018. - Cebr now expects the economy to grow by just 1.3% this year and 1.2% in 2018.   - This will make 2018 the year with the slowest GDP growth since 2009. - Lower…

Consumer confidence slumps in wake of hung parliament

June 27, 2017

June data shows pronounced collapse in consumer confidence following the election – falling from 109.1 in week before the vote to 105.2 in period after it Overall consumer Confidence Index for the month drops to 106.9 – only slightly  Consumer confidence driven down by weakened household finances and cooling property prices But optimism about business activity and job security remains steady     UK consumer confidence slumped sharply after the…

YouGov Consumer Confidence Release

June 23, 2017

Embargoed: Not for publication before 00.01, 26 June 2017   Consumer confidence slumps in wake of hung parliament   June data shows pronounced collapse in consumer confidence following the election – falling from 109.1 in week before the vote to 105.2 in period after it     Overall consumer Confidence Index for the month drops to 106.9 – only slightly higher than immediate aftermath of EU vote   Consumer confidence…

Cebr comment on the implications of the UK General Election 2017

June 9, 2017

Cebr comment on the implications of the UK General Election 2017     ‘Whoever tries to form a government has perhaps the most difficult mandate of any government since 1945’ ‘Increased economic stability at the price of longer term political instability’ ‘The luck of the Irish…’ The political results of the election     I’ve never before had the privilege of commenting on a UK General Election from abroad and…

Cebr in the News

June 5, 2017

Bespoke Research   Cebr has been working for Open Britain analyzing the potential impact of losing access to the single market for services after Brexit. The results were covered by the Times, the Independent and the Express.   Working with Leeds Building Society, Cebr conducted research into interest only mortgages. The research found that nearly £16bn of interest-only mortgages will mature this year, with £50bn to be paid off by…

Cebr Special Report – Economic Consequences of Limiting Migration

May 24, 2017

Cebr Special Report – Economic Consequences of Limiting Migration[1] This short note gives Cebr’s analysis on the economic consequences of limiting migration as proposed in the Conservative Manifesto for the 2017 General Election. The note builds on earlier work by NIESR and the OBR but is unique in looking at the dynamic effects of reducing migration, particularly the effects on the UK’s highly successful digital economy, the Flat White Economy.…

The economic impact on services from the UK losing Single Market access

May 22, 2017

•When considering the single market, many of the nuances relating to services are often lost as part of the ongoing focus on Brexit. This report specifically addresses the implications of leaving the single market in services and why maintaining deep access is important. The single market in services is important to the UK. This is especially so given the UK’s leading position as an exporter of services. This report also…

Unprepared IFAs could miss out on the ‘Inheritance Economy’ as nearly £1 trillion set to pass to the next generation in the next 10 years

May 10, 2017

Wealth transfer set to rise by 66% from £69 billion in 2017 to £115 billion in 2027 Nearly £1 trillion expected pass to the next generation in a decade Average value of inheritances set to jump by 47% from £62,000 to £91,000 by 2027 But independent financial advisers unprepared to deal with this phenomenon will miss out on this opportunity   The ‘inheritance economy’ is set to boom over the…

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